The Weekly Brief

Every Friday: one event study, one how-to or one opinion piece, written from the engine's own numbers. Free by e-mail; the archive is open.

The terminal writes its own version of this. Give the analyst a standing instruction and it rebuilds a one-page briefing every 8 checks, opening with what changed since the last one — computed against the exact readings the previous one was built from. It is the same length on the mornings nothing happened, and it will keep telling you nothing happened.

NO. 91 · METHODThe analyst, and where it fails
Sep 8, 2026

What the analyst does for you — and the four places it fails

You state what you want watched, once; the terminal then checks on its own clock, acts, and logs the number that caused it. What it does unasked, what it refuses, and the four of five event classes whose median sits inside its own error bar.

The RegimeLens Desk · 2026-09-08 · 8 min read

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NO. 86 · HOW-TOFRED on crypto & index charts
Aug 14, 2026

Plotting FRED data on crypto and index charts

A hands-on guide: get a free FRED key, pull CPI and Fed Funds through the local engine, normalise the axes and overlay them on BTC and SPX — with the exact recipe file.

The RegimeLens Desk · 2026-08-14 · 7 min read

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NO. 84 · OPINIONTechnicals without macro
Jul 30, 2026

Why technical analysis fails without macro context

Support levels do not know when the CPI print is. A look at how regime, liquidity and event risk change the odds of the same chart pattern — and how to add context without abandoning your charts.

The RegimeLens Desk · 2026-07-30 · 8 min read

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NO. 88 · IN PRESSCrowded trades
Sep 11, 2026

COT positioning extremes: how often do crowded trades actually reverse?

Every gold, euro and 10-year note reading beyond ±2σ since 2006, and what happened over the following 30 sessions.

The RegimeLens Desk · in review

NO. 89 · IN PRESSGDELT at home
Sep 18, 2026

Building a GDELT tone index at home: 2 GB a day on a laptop

The exact pipeline the engine uses — GKG files, theme filters, tone aggregation — and why we cache Parquet instead of CSV.

The RegimeLens Desk · in review

NO. 90 · IN PRESSThe 24-hour window
Sep 25, 2026

Central-bank calendar as a risk guard: the 24-hour no-trade window

What skipping the session around FOMC, ECB and CPI does to a trend strategy on SPX and gold — measured with RegimeLens event markers over eight years.

The RegimeLens Desk · in review

Chart of the week · the chart book

Three Charts, Three Recipes

Every chart in the Brief ships with the recipe that reproduces it in your own terminal. The full chart book — every figure from every issue — is in the licence.

Gold vs 10Y real yield (inverted)
fred DFII10 · invert · normalize · XAUUSD 1D · 2Y
Brent vs MENA escalation, threshold 70
acled escalation region=MENA · events cross_above 70 · BRENT 1D
Gold COT z-score, ±2σ marked
cot net_spec market=GC · zscore 156 · weekly
Reproduce in the terminal →

Where Macro Meets the Price Chart

The Brief describes the chart. The terminal is the chart. Open it now, no account needed.